Research desks
7 July 2025
Geopolitics, Nuclear Energy, and Artificial Intelligence: Charting the UK’s Energy Security Path
he United Kingdom is entering a decisive phase in redefining its energy security, with intensifying geopolitical uncertainty and accelerating climate obligations, the stakes have never been higher. Energy security, understood as the reliable, affordable, and sustainable provision of energy now reinforces not only the country’s economic resilience and security but also its strategic autonomy. Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, volatility in global gas markets, and the UK's post-Brexit trade realignment have exposed longstanding structural vulnerabilities.
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Africa
25 May 2025
US-Kenya Security Pact and Counterterrorism in East Africa and its wider Geopolitical Implications
The US-Kenya security pact highlights the growing shift in global power dynamics, where smaller regional players, like Kenya, are being increasingly integrated into the security policies of larger powers. However, this brings to fore several questions about the long-term viability of such partnerships. In a world where global powers are becoming more unpredictable and the nature of conflict is increasingly non-traditional, the US-Kenya pact may serve as a useful model for flexible, regional security alliances.
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Security & Conflict
13 May 2025
Is a Fear of a Nuclear Arms Race Inevitable?
Washington in the 1960s saw President JFK sound a prescient warning. Without international cooperation, the world might soon see a proliferation of nuclear weapons across 15 to 25 states — a scenario that risked global catastrophe. To avoid this, the United States spearheaded the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), founded on a strategic bargain: non-nuclear states would refrain from developing such weapons, and existing nuclear powers would gradually disarm.
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LATAM & Caribbean
7 May 2025
A Geopolitical Catch-22? The Future of Foreign Intervention in Haiti
Chaos reigns in the Caribbean nation of Haiti. The former president Jovenel Moïse was assassinated in 2021, a gang coalition called Viv Ansanm controls approximately 85% of the capital, Port-au-Prince, and violence and...
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Africa
22 April 2025
When The ‘Recalcitrant’ Prevails: Nigeria’s Loss in the IPOB Secessionist Struggle
In 2014, Nnamdi Kanu, a revolutionary of Igbo extraction and leader of the Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB) movement, emerged to campaign for the separation of Biafra from Nigeria.
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Türkiye
4 April 2025
Hydro-Politics in the Euphrates-Tigris Basin: Turkish Policy and Post-Assad Opportunities
This report provides an in-depth analysis of the evolving hydro-political dynamics in the Euphrates-Tigris Basin in the aftermath of the fall of the Assad regime in Syria.
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Türkiye
26 March 2025
The Mayor of Istanbul, Ekrem Imamoğlu, with around 100 other key opposition politicians and businessmen to President Erdoğan and his Justice and Development Party (AKP) were arrested in Istanbul on 19 March. The charges against them involve alleged corruption in the Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality (IBB) and terror charges in regards to aiding the PKK and other Kurdish groups.
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Africa
17 March 2025
Xenophobic Violence in South Africa and the Government’s P/CVE Initiatives
Far-right extremism is a cyclical and resurgent entity, often emerging in different forms and contexts throughout history. This is evident in the cases of fascism, Islamophobia, QAnon, anti-Semitism, and xenophobia in diverse countries’ contexts.
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Middle East & North Africa
25 February 2025
In November 2023, Houthi rebels began a campaign of naval attacks in the Red Sea, declaring its main target as Israeli commercial and naval vessels.
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