Reports and analysis from analysts embedded across the regions, covering security, politics and risk across Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America and Asia.
Research desks
Türkiye
24 January 2026
Türkiye’s Strategic Ambitions in Iraq
Bilateral ties between Ankara and Baghdad have seen two particular breakthroughs: Iraq's March 2024 ban on the Kurdish Workers’ Party (PKK) and the establishment of new frameworks to resolve the longstanding...
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Africa
23 January 2026
Somaliland has been operating as a breakaway state within the borders of Somalia since 1991. For the last 34 years, they have been a functioning de facto state with its own military, police, currency, rule of law, and democratically-elected government. Until December 2025, they had received no formal recognition from any UN-member state, leading to a severe handicap in their ability to secure IMF loans, access international trade organisations, or negotiate on their own behalf in international forums.
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LATAM & Caribbean
20 January 2026
On 3 January 2026, the United States conducted Operation Absolute Resolve, an overnight operation in Venezuela which ended with the surprise capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife and co-conspirator, Cilia Flores. Both were brought to New York charged with drug and weapons trafficking.
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Middle East & North Africa
29 December 2025
The Disarmament of Hezbollah & the Potential Repercussions for the Wider Region
Influenced by the Islamic Revolution, founded in 1982 and armed and trained by the clandestine wing of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, also known as the Quds Force, Hezbollah has grown to be the world’s...
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Europe
18 December 2025
Serbia at a Turning Point: Student Protests and the Crisis of the Status Quo
The collapse of the Novi Sad railway station canopy on 1 November 2024, which killed sixteen people, ignited a wave of student protests amid widespread suspicions of corruption linked to the station’s refurbishment.
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LATAM & Caribbean
10 December 2025
Venezuela’s Multidimensional Grey-Zone Campaign in the Essequibo Region
Venezuela has put into place a multidimensional grey-zone campaign in the Essequibo Region-based on grey-zone strategies and a five-step “hybrid kit”, meaning a coordinated package of legal, informational, military...
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North America
2 December 2025
The implementation of Executive Order 1428:‘Unleashing America’s Offshore Critical Minerals and Resources’, officially administered by President Trump on 24 April 2025 focuses the second Trump administration’s efforts...
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Türkiye
26 November 2025
Türkiye’s Defence Capabilities and its Geopolitical Positioning
Türkiye’s increasing geopolitical rise in the Middle East is in part explained by its dominant military. As a country placed at the crossroads of many conflicts, its military allows for the implementation of its Anatolian foreign policy, from maintaining a two-state solution in Cyprus to now advancing a Turkish-backed Syrian government. Erdoğan’s strong executive leadership of the military since 2016 has allowed Türkiye to further implement its foreign policy ambitions in the Levant and further develop its global military positioning by increasing its defence partners beyond the Middle East.
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Africa
21 November 2025
Israel’s Hidden Hand: Strategic Interests and the Push for Somaliland’s Recognition
The question of international recognition for the breakaway state of Somaliland has been dramatically transformed. No longer confined to the well-rehearsed arguments of historical distinctness and democratic governance, it has been thrust into the centre of a vortex of intersecting regional crises and bold strategic ambitions. This shift is amplified by influential voices in Washington and a concerted lobbying effort, reframing the issue from a regional dispute into a pivotal matter of the U.S. and Israeli national security.
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