Reports and analysis from analysts embedded across the regions, covering security, politics and risk across Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America and Asia.
Research desks
Türkiye
4 January 2025
Türkiye’s Reconstruction of and Influence in Post-Assad Syria
Türkiye is the new power broker in Syria, and a regional power dynamic shift has occurred. Placing Ankara as the “key” to the new Syria. Iran has suffered a significant blow. Tehran, now in the eyes of their allies, will be perceived as weak. Tehran has lost its land bridge to “axis of resistance” allies Hezbollah, who need to rebuild after Israel’s bombardment of them but will struggle without Iran’s support via the land bridge (but there are still possibilities of the land bridge remaining intact somewhat as there are still Iranian networks in Syria).
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3 January 2025
Romania and Moldova Take on the Threat of Foreign Influence from Russia
Romania and Moldova both exist under different levels of European integration and security but face similar threats from Russia, which dominated Moldova as part of the Soviet Union and Romania as part of the Warsaw Pact. As a member of the EU since 2007, and NATO since 2004, Romania plays an increasingly important role on the alliance’s eastern flank guarding against threats from the Black Sea and spillover from the conflict in Ukraine.
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29 December 2024
Earlier this month, Beijing’s tech industry further cracked down on its critical semiconductor and chip trade as it ramps up policy safeguards against impending Washington tariffs. This escalation involved China barred gallium, germanium, and antimony exports to the US, hoping to strengthen the enforcement of existing limits on critical mineral exports that Beijing had begun rolling out only to the US. Perceived as an escalation of trade tensions between the two giants, China is seemingly shielding itself from a one-sided “trade war” rhetoric that Trump will unleash upon his ascendancy into office once more.
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22 December 2024
A new policy precedent for a Trump presidency on the Korean Peninsula?
South Korea’s recent declaration of martial law under President Yoon Suk Yeol, though lasting only six hours, has sparked significant debate about its potential implications for right-wing-led democracies worldwide. Yoon’s unilateral attempt to circumvent parliamentary procedure has raised alarms, particularly in light of ongoing shifts in global power dynamics & America’s impending global retraction.
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