Geopol Report

Regional analysts

Geopolitical Analysis & Research

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Is a Fear of a Nuclear Arms Race Inevitable?

Security & Conflict

13 May 2025

Is a Fear of a Nuclear Arms Race Inevitable?

Washington in the 1960s saw President JFK sound a prescient warning. Without international cooperation, the world might soon see a proliferation of nuclear weapons across 15 to 25 states — a scenario that risked global catastrophe. To avoid this, the United States spearheaded the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), founded on a strategic bargain: non-nuclear states would refrain from developing such weapons, and existing nuclear powers would gradually disarm.

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A Geopolitical Catch-22? The Future of Foreign Intervention in Haiti

LATAM & Caribbean

7 May 2025

A Geopolitical Catch-22? The Future of Foreign Intervention in Haiti

Chaos reigns in the Caribbean nation of Haiti. The former president Jovenel Moïse was assassinated in 2021, a gang coalition called Viv Ansanm controls approximately 85% of the capital, Port-au-Prince, and violence and...

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Peter Magyar's Challenge to Orbán's Foreign Policy and Hungary's Role in the European Union

Europe

2 May 2025

Peter Magyar’s Challenge to Orbán’s Foreign Policy and Hungary’s Role in the European Union

In recent years, Hungary led by Viktor Orban has been the protagonist of a foreign policy focused on vacillating trade-offs between the European Union, Russia and China.

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15 weeks of Executive Power: Prospects for Lebanon’s crisis recovery under President Joseph Aoun

Middle East & North Africa

29 April 2025

15 weeks of Executive Power: Prospects for Lebanon’s crisis recovery under President Joseph Aoun

Joseph Aoun’s presidential inauguration early this year, marked a significant moment for Lebanon, after a two-year presidential vacuum, an ineffective political system, and conflict with Israel. At a Palm Sunday homily in February, the head of Lebanon’s Maronite church, Bechara Rai, expressed hope towards a turn in Lebanon’s leadership.

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The Shift of Geopolitical Centrality away from Europe and towards Saudi Arabia

Middle East & North Africa

24 April 2025

The Shift of Geopolitical Centrality away from Europe and towards Saudi Arabia

Europe has experienced recent struggles with where to position themselves within the geopolitical sphere and how to define its relationship with the big players. In previous years, they could rely on the United States to provide security, Russia to provide energy, and China for markets and production.

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When The ‘Recalcitrant’ Prevails: Nigeria’s Loss in the IPOB Secessionist Struggle

Africa

22 April 2025

When The ‘Recalcitrant’ Prevails: Nigeria’s Loss in the IPOB Secessionist Struggle

In 2014, Nnamdi Kanu, a revolutionary of Igbo extraction and leader of the Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB) movement, emerged to campaign for the separation of Biafra from Nigeria.

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Iraq's Development Road: A Path to Regional Connectivity and Economic Growth

Middle East & North Africa

18 April 2025

Iraq’s Development Road: A Path to Regional Connectivity and Economic Growth

Iraq's Development Road Project represents one of the most ambitious infrastructure initiatives in the Middle East, aiming to establish a 1,200-kilometer transport corridor linking the Gulf to Europe via Iraq and Türkiye.

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Niger at a Crossroads: Security, Sovereignty, and Alliance Shifts

Security & Conflict

14 April 2025

Niger at a Crossroads: Security, Sovereignty, and Alliance Shifts

Niger is at the heart of a rapidly shifting geopolitical landscape in the Sahel.

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A Golden Dawn for Cuba-US Relations? The potential for reconciliation between Trump’s America and Díaz-Canel’s Cuba

LATAM & Caribbean

13 April 2025

A Golden Dawn for Cuba-US Relations? The potential for reconciliation between Trump’s America and Díaz-Canel’s Cuba

The American economic embargo against Cuba has become an ostensibly permanent feature of international relations. Since 1960 the US government has applied some form of economic sanctions against Cuba.

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